Why a Gun Ban in the USA Won't Spark a Civil War

Introduction

There is a common belief that if the government were to outlaw all guns and attempt to confiscate them from the 120 million American gun owners, it would cross the line and spark another Civil War. Is this fear well-founded?

Understanding the Reality

The notion of confiscating all guns from American citizens is seen as a purely symbolic or rhetorical one, akin to electoral rhetoric to placate the base. The reality is, it is highly improbable. According to the U.S. government, 50.9% of veterans own a firearm. That means out of the nearly 18 million veterans in the United States, over nine million are equipped and ready to use their firearms. NINE MILLION!!! These individuals are not only guns but combat-trained and familiar with guerrilla warfare, making them formidable opponents.

The Armed Citizen Factor

Let us consider a hypothetical scenario where a civil war were to break out. From the nine million combat-trained individuals, one could reasonably expect that three million might refuse to fight. However, the remaining six million still pose a significant threat. In the context of a civil war, it can be presumed that a substantial portion of the American reserve and guard would join the rebels. This would add a significant military capability, including aircraft, tanks, and ammunition stockpiles, to the insurgents' arsenal. This scenario paints a vivid picture of the immense challenge any government would face in attempting to take control of the situation.

Divided and Vulnerable

In addition to the military threat, the structure of civil war would exacerbate existing divisions. Special interest groups might decide that it is an opportune time to challenge the political status quo. Major cities could become akin to city-states, governed by gangs or factions with distinct ideologies. Consider: how would a government that struggles to maintain control over teenage gang activities in Chicago handle a situation where a large portion of its population is armed, combat-trained, and capable of engaging in guerrilla warfare?

A civil war scenario would not only divide the nation but also open it to external threats. Neighboring countries like Mexico might see this as an opportunity to settle past grievances and make territorial claims. They might seek reparations for perceived injustices, further complicating the conflict. The prediction of the Russian KGB foresaw America’s disunity leading up to 2010, similar to what is currently seen in Ukraine. History has shown that such attempts can have disastrous consequences.

Political Realities and Civil War Concerns

The political leadership in the U.S. is acutely aware that almost all gun owners are law-abiding citizens. Any notion of a widespread uprising through gun confiscation is more conducive to fear-mongering than reality. Leftist politicians, like their counterparts on the right, require base support to continue their political ambitions. Ignoring the potential for such a conflict and focusing on smaller issues is a safer political strategy for the ruling parties.

Conclusion

The risk of civil war due to a gun ban in the United States is largely theoretical. Most politicians are well aware of the practical challenges and the potential for division and vulnerability. The reality is that such a scenario is highly unlikely to occur, as the gun-owning populace is predominantly peaceful and deeply embedded in American society, including the military and veterans community.