Why Didn't Russia Protect Armenia Against Azerbaijan?

In the current geopolitical landscape, the question of why Russia did not intervene to protect Armenia against Azerbaijan has sparked considerable debate and controversy. This article will delve into the reasons behind Russia's inaction, ethnic considerations, and geopolitical dynamics in the South Caucasus region.

Historical Abandonment and National Autonomy

The most significant reason often cited for Russia's lack of direct intervention is the principle of national autonomy. Both Armenia and Azerbaijan, after their independence, chose to leave the Russian Federation and have since governed themselves without the need for Russian military protection. This shift marked the end of the Russian obligation to defend their interests within these former Soviet republics.

Geopolitical Complications and Regional Dynamics

Geostrategic considerations play a crucial role in Russia's approach to the Armenia-Azerbaijan conflict. Russia's alliance with Turkey, a key player in the region, has limited its direct involvement in the conflict. Furthermore, the unrest in the South Caucasus is often attributed to pro-NATO NGOs, which complicates Russia's stance. Russia's aim is to maintain peace and stability in the region to safeguard its strategic interests.

Strategic Alliances and National Pride

Armenia's actions have also alienated Russia to some extent. By occupying official Azeri territory and forming strong ties with the European Union, Armenia has effectively signaled its desire to distance itself from Russia. Russia's intervention without an invitation could be seen as a violation of state sovereignty, leading to potential backlash. Moreover, Armenia's actions were perceived as misbehavior, and Russia opted to let Armenia face the consequences to set an example for its future actions.

The situation in Beslan further underscores Russia's cautious approach. The Beslan School Siege in 2004 highlighted the dangers of interfering in internal conflicts. Russia is reluctant to repeat such mistakes and thus avoids direct military intervention in regions where its interests are not purely aligned.

Conclusion

In summary, Russia's decision not to protect Armenia against Azerbaijan is influenced by various factors, including the principle of national autonomy, geopolitical alliances, and strategic considerations. While the conflict remains a source of tension, Russia continues to strive for peace and stability in the South Caucasus region.