What If Robert Baratheon Died Before He Became King?

Imagine a scenario where Robert Baratheon perishes due to his injuries from the Sack of King's Landing but before he ascends to the throne. This hypothetical event profoundly reshapes the political landscape of Westeros. Let's delve into the implications and how it alters the course of events from a historically significant rebellion to the eventual War of the Five Kings.

1. Power Vacuum and Failed Rebellion

Power Vacuum: Without Robert's survival, the rebellion would lack its central figure. This could potentially lead to a prolonged Targaryen rule, substantially different from the eventual triumph of House Baratheon.

Alternative Leaders: Stannis or Renly Baratheon might step forward, but their ability to inspire and rally support is uncertain. Stannis, known for his strict adherence to duty, might not inspire the same fervor as Robert did.

2. Targaryen Response and Lannister Influence

Targaryen Response: If the rebellion fails, Targaryens, particularly Aegon VI, would have the opportunity to solidify their hold on the throne. They could leverage the chaos to consolidate their power.

Lannister Influence: The Lannisters, led by Cersei and Jaime, would exploit the power vacuum to enhance their influence, likely leading to a more aggressive pursuit of power in King's Landing.

3. Dynamics and Coalition of Stannis and Renly

Sibling Rivalry: Without Robert to unite them, the conflict between Stannis and Renly could escalate earlier, leading to a civil war within House Baratheon. Their rivalry would challenge each other's claims to the throne, resulting in a split in their forces.

Allegiances: The allegiances of the Baratheon bannermen would be uncertain. Some might support Stannis's claim, while others might side with Renly, leading to a fractured Baratheon faction.

4. Impact on Other Houses and Key Events

House Stark: Without Robert, Eddard Stark may not be appointed as Hand of the King. The fate of House Stark could take a different path, potentially without the crucial leadership of Robert.

House Greyjoy: Balon Greyjoy may see an opportunity to assert independence or reclaim the Iron Islands, leading to conflicts with the Starks and Lannisters.

The War of the Five Kings: The absence of Robert could lead to an earlier or different version of the War of the Five Kings. Various factions might vie for power in King's Landing, reshaping political alliances and enmities.

Daenerys Targaryen: Daenerys's journey may also be affected. A weaker Westeros could result in less immediate opposition, but her claim might also be viewed differently without the backdrop of Robert's rebellion.

Conclusion

In summary, Robert Baratheon's death before he becomes king would create a ripple effect throughout Westeros. It would alter alliances, power dynamics, and lead to a different series of events that could profoundly affect the fate of the Seven Kingdoms. The resulting chaos could either prolong Targaryen rule or lead to a fragmentation of power, setting the stage for a different kind of conflict in Westeros.