The Mystery of Young Griff: Analysis and Evidence

The world of A Song of Ice and Fire (ASOIAF) is a complex one filled with deceptive truths and hidden identities. One such mystery concerns Young Griff, who many believe is the rightful Aegon Targaryen. Let's explore the evidence and arguments for and against this claim.

Confirmation Claims: Illyrio, Varys, and Connington

Who are the sources that confirm Young Griff as Aegon Targaryen? The list includes Illyrio Mopatis, Varys, and Jon Connington.

Illyrio Mopatis: Illyrio, the wealthy merchant from Pentos, has a vested interest in securing the Targaryen line's return to power. However, his motives are questionable. As a cheesemonger before he became wealthy, he stands to gain little from helping the Targaryens.

Varys: Allegedly, Varys orchestrated the Targaryen child's arrival in Pentos. Given that Varys is a master of deception, his credibility is dubious. His secrecy could indicate a hidden agenda, possibly involving manipulation or subterfuge.

Jon Connington: While Connington knew Rhaegar Targaryen, his interactions with Aegon in King's Landing were likely minimal. Connington was an exile during much of the rebellion, making it unlikely he had much contact with the baby Aegon.

The Illogical Arguments for Young Griff

Several points raise questions about the authenticity of Young Griff as Aegon Targaryen:

No Evidence of Aegon's Presence: There is no documented proof that Aegon was actually present in King's Landing during the events leading up to the swapping. Mother's Knowledge: Even if Aegon was present, Elia Martell, Aegon's mother, would likely have noticed if the baby at her breast was not her own. This suggests that Young Griff is more likely an orphan than a Targaryen. Caution from Quaithe: Quaithe's warning to Daenerys about the "mummer's dragon" can be interpreted as a caution against a false or manipulated Aegon.

The Plausibility of the Blackfyar Line

Given the complexity of the Targaryen bloodline and the potential for political manipulation, it is worth considering the Blackfyar line as a plausible alternative identity for Young Griff.

Blackfyar Line Background: The Blackfyars are a Targaryen offshoot, descended from Aegon IV through his bastard son Daemon and his Valyrian steel sword Blackfyar. Historical records indicate that the Blackfyar line faced rebellion until the death of the last male line during the War of the Nine Pencil Kings.

Suspected Blackfyar Identity: This Aegon could be the son of Serra, a Lyseni pillow worker and renowned beauty. Serra likely had a complex relationship with high society, making any child she bore unpalatable to them. Her resemblance to Rhaegar Targaryen and the possibility of being Illyrio Mopatis' daughter add further intrigue.

Illyrio's Motivation: Illyrio Mopatis stands to gain from a Blackfyar claimant, as the Blackfyars have historically posed a threat to the Targaryen dynasty. This could explain his involvement in securing Young Griff's true identity.

Varys' Potential Involvement: Given Varys' Lyseni heritage, he might be related to Serra. This would explain his knowledge of secret passageways and his extensive spy network. Castration for a magical ritual, often only occurring with a king's blood, further suggests a deep connection to a powerful family.

Golden Company's Ambiguity: While the Golden Company has a history of rebellion, their loyalty to the Blackfyar line, initiated by Bittersteel, could explain their involvement.

Conclusion

The evidence, while complex, leans towards the idea that Young Griff is more likely a Blackfyar than a Targaryen. His resemblance to Rhaegar Targaryen, Illyrio's potential role, and the historical context of the Blackfyar line all support this theory. However, without concrete proof, this remains a speculative and intriguing analysis for fans of the ASOIAF saga.