Power Dynamics and Probabilities: Analyzing the Nine Major Houses of Westeros

Introduction

Westeros, a land of intrigue, warfare, and political maneuvering, is home to nine powerful noble houses that vying for the Iron Throne. Each house commands a unique set of resources, loyal subjects, and strategic advantages. Before the Game of Thrones series, where did the major houses rank in terms of their influence, and how likely were they to emerge as victors?

Ratting the Houses: Westeros' Power Brokers

1. House Tyrell

Rating: 2nd Wealthiest, Largest Armies, Extensive Fleets, Citadel and Faith Headquarters

House Tyrell holds the second slot for wealth and military might. Their extensive domains, with control over the Reach, provide an unparalleled supply of food and resources. Additionally, the Tyrells boast two large fleets and have strong ties with the Citadel and the Faith in Oldtown, which grant them significant intellectual and religious influence. This comprehensive strength positions them as a formidable contender.

2. House Lannister

Rating: Wealthiest, Largest Army, Tyrion and Catelyn as Members

House Lannister is crowned as the wealthiest and most powerful house. While House Stark holds more land, the Lannisters hold the King's Landing. Tywin Lannister's leadership and Tyrion's influence in the capital ensure that Lannister's authority is unparalleled. Moreover, their Queen, a member of House Lannister, further solidifies their status. The Lannisters' ability to control the crown makes them one of the most dominant houses.

3. House Baratheon

Rating: King Robert, Ruling Storm and Crown Lands

House Baratheon's King Robert has laid claim to both the Stormlands and the Crownlands, thereby boosting their territory and resources. This control over two significant regions grants them considerable influence and a large, loyal following. However, their power waned slightly just before the A Song of Ice and Fire series began, likely due to recently concluded rebellions and other conflicts.

4. House Arryn

Rating: 4th in Influence, Hand of the King, Hard to Invade

House Arryn, through its control of the Vale, was considered the fourth most influential house in Westeros. The high mountain passes and rugged terrain make the Vale a challenging place to invade, giving the Arryns a strategic advantage. However, their position as the Warden of the East and close to the capital also makes them influential. The current patriarch's advanced age and potential succession issues curtail their dominance to some extent.

5. House Stark

Rating: Well Loved, Strong Northern Borders, Hard to Assemble Army

House Stark's valiant efforts and historical reputation make them beloved in the north. Their control over the North provides ample resources, and they are known to have a significant number of children, ensuring a steady succession. However, their vast kingdom can be challenging to rally quickly due to its large expanse, leading to a lag in assembling their full military strength.

6. House Tully

Rating: Very Underrated, Large Army, Fertile Lands, No Natural Boundaries

House Tully is often underestimated despite possessing two essential elements for a great kingdom: a large army and fertile lands. Their control of the Riverlands and the Trident makes them a formidable force. However, their lack of natural boundaries and the fact that they are often in the heart of battlefields can lead to overlooking their true strength.

7. House Martell

Rating: Good Natural Boundaries, Desert Location, Exaggerated Military Strength

House Martell's control over Dorne, with its good natural boundaries, makes them a force to be reckoned with. However, their location in the harsh Dornish desert often limits their resources and agricultural capacity, which affects their overall strength. Furthermore, the Martells' military strength is likely exaggerated, and recent political issues have tarnished their reputation.

8. House Greyjoy

Rating: Iron Fleet, Impoverished

House Greyjoy's primary claim to fame is the Iron Fleet, which makes them a significant naval force. However, recent defeats and the death of their lords, coupled with a lack of resources, have left the Greyjoys in a state of decline. Their strength was further diminished by the ongoing conflict in the north and a lack of personal ambition.

9. House Targaryen

Rating: No Remaining Power, Scarce Resources and Survival

House Targaryen had once wielded immense power, but by the time the A Song of Ice and Fire saga commenced, the House was virtually powerless. They had only Viserys and Daenerys Targaryen, who were in exile, destitute, and devoid of an army to wait for the right moment.

Probabilities of Winning the Game of Thrones

Based on their influence, resources, and strategic positions, the following are the most likely candidates to win the Game of Thrones:

House Lannister - Their wealth, military strength, and control over the capital provide a solid foundation for their claims. House Stark - Their popularity and northern resources put them in a strong position, though they may lack immediate military clout. House Baratheon - Their recent history and strong presence in the realm make them a formidable contender, especially with the right alliances. House Tyrell - Their combined wealth, food supplies, and ties to the capital make them a significant player in the struggle. House Targaryen - Despite their weakened state, the promise of Daenerys' dragons and political ambitions could renew their strength. House Arryn, Martell, and Greyjoy - Their situations are less favorable, but with the right opportunities, they could still play significant roles. House Tully - While underrated, their fertile lands and strategic location could offer them a hidden advantage.

Conclusion

The landscape of power and influence in Westeros is complex, with each house holding different strengths and weaknesses. While the Lannisters, Starks, and Baratheons stand out as the most formidable, the dynamics are constantly shifting with political alliances, battles, and unforeseen events. As the series progresses, the true rulers of Westeros will emerge from this intricate web of power.